Provider of decentralised power generation solutions, Wartsila Australia , has published a scenario report on future alternatives for global power and electricity production and has spent more than 8,000 hours analysing how electricity is likely to be produced and consumed in 2023 in developed countries like Australia.
Using information that came via web services, such as email and Facebook, the company says the project brought together the views of academics, non-governmental organisations, business leaders, government representatives and other experts, and resulted in three possible future scenarios for power generation being predicted. These have been called Green Earth, Blue Globe and Grey World.
Wärtsilä established these scenarios to provide alternative views on the future of power generation in a complex and changing global environment.
The Green Earth power generation scenario is shaped by individual citizens who have decided to tackle the challenge posed by climate change. The world economy grows at a modest pace, and the use of renewable energy sources increases. People accept the scarcity of resources and live sustainably.
The Blue Globe power generation scenario is a market-oriented, prosperous world, powered by large utilities. Policy is driven by two key factors: the need for economic growth and curbing emissions. Carbon capture and storage allows us to continue using coal.
The Grey World power generation scenario is ruled by governments. Scarcity of resources and energy security are major issues - climate change is not. Scarcity leads to considerable changes within society, and political tensions run high due to the uneven geographical distribution of energy resources.
Creating these power generation scenarios is a powerful means for making sense of a complex and changing environment. Scenarios are fact-based, challenging, but plausible descriptions of what might lie ahead. They provide alternative views of the future of power generation, taking into consideration significant trends, events and actors, and try to model how they might interact.
“Today, two major global challenges top the economic, social, and environmental agenda of the world. On the one hand we have to produce enough electricity to improve the living standards of a growing population. On the other hand, we must curb climate change," says Wartsila's company spokesperson.
"We believe that the power sector has a key role to play in solving these challenges. As a provider of complete lifecycle power solutions for our customers, we need to make the right decisions regarding long-term product development in order to be the preferred partner for future investments," the spokesperson concluded.
Wartsila is also using the power of Web 2.0 to start up a dialogue with anyone interested in getting involved in the green power ideas project and are inviting people to share their views, challenge them and to provide feedback.