According to the Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast for 2010 to 2015 available from Cisco Systems Australia , worldwide mobile data traffic will increase 26-fold during this period.
Worldwide mobile data traffic is projected to reach 6.3 exabytes per month or an annual run rate of 75 exabytes by 2015 due to an expected surge in mobile Internet-enabled devices delivering popular video applications and services.
This traffic increase represents a compound annual growth rate of 92 percent over the same period.
Two major global trends are driving these significant mobile data traffic increases including a continued surge in mobile-ready devices such as tablets and smart phones as well as widespread mobile video content consumption.
Highlights of the Cisco VNI Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast:
- Over 5.6 billion personal devices will be connected to mobile networks, and there will also be 1.5 billion machine-to-machine nodes by 2015
- Mobile video will represent 66 percent of all mobile data traffic by 2015, increasing 35-fold from 2010 to 2015
- Mobile traffic originating from tablet devices is expected to grow 205-fold from 2010 to 2015
- Annual global mobile data traffic will reach 6.3 exabytes per month, or an annual run rate of 75 exabytes by 2015
- Global mobile data traffic increased 159 percent from calendar year 2009 to calendar year 2010 to 237 petabytes per month
- Global mobile data traffic grew 4.2 times as fast as global fixed broadband data traffic in 2010
- Global mobile data traffic in 2010 was three times the size of all global Internet traffic (fixed and mobile) in the year 2000
- The Middle East and Africa will have the highest regional mobile data traffic growth rates, with a compound annual growth rate of 129 percent or 63-fold over the period
- Latin America anticipates a 111 percent CAGR (42-fold growth), followed by Central and Eastern Europe with a 102 percent CAGR (34-fold growth), and Asia-Pacific with a 101 percent CAGR (33-fold growth)
- Western Europe will have a 91 percent CAGR (25-fold growth), North America, an 83 percent CAGR (20-fold growth) and Japan, a 70 percent CAGR (14-fold growth)
- India has the highest national mobile data traffic growth rate with a CAGR of 158 percent (115-fold growth) for the forecast period
- South Africa follows with a 144 percent CAGR (87-fold growth) and Mexico close behind with a 131 percent CAGR (66-fold growth)
- United Kingdom will see an 84 percent CAGR (21-fold growth) and the US, an 83 percent CAGR (21-fold growth)
Global Mobile Device and Customer Milestones by 2015
- A mobile connected device for nearly every member of the world’s population (7.2 billion people per UN’s population estimate)
- More than 7.1 billion mobile connections to handsets, other devices and machine-to-machine nodes (excluding Wi-Fi connections)
- Average mobile connection is anticipated to generate a total of 1,118 megabytes of traffic per month from 65 megabytes presently
- Smart phones, laptops and other portable devices will drive more than 87 percent of global mobile traffic
- Mobile network-connected tablets will generate more traffic (248 petabytes per month) than the entire global mobile network in 2010 (237 petabytes per month)
- Machine-to-machine (M2M) traffic will reach 295 petabytes per month